New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 76.5%

NJD: 23.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.49

NJD: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	CAR	NJD
Season SV%	0.901	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	19	17	2	89.5%	2.08	0	0.08
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	34	29	5	85.3%	4.83	4	-0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.91
1	NJD	11	0	0.59
2	CAR	24	2	2.17
2	NJD	9	0	0.81
3	CAR	15	2	1.74
3	NJD	10	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown