Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken (SO)

Win Probability

BUF: 58.1%

SEA: 41.9%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.86

SEA: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	1	0.94
1	SEA	17	1	1.04
2	BUF	24	3	1.96
2	SEA	19	2	2.05
3	BUF	11	0	0.92
3	SEA	12	0	0.38
4	BUF	6	0	0.47
4	SEA	0	0	0.00
5	BUF	2	2	1.79
5	SEA	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7