Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2026-03-28 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 67.8%
TOR: 32.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.33
TOR: 2.51
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | STL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.908 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.896 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs TOR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | STL 5 - 1 TOR | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-18 | TOR 3 - 2 STL | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-11-02 | STL 4 - 2 TOR | STL | TOR |
| 2024-10-24 | TOR 1 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2024-02-19 | STL 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5
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