Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-03-28 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 71.4%
WPG: 28.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 4.58
WPG: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 9.5
Over 5.5: 91%
Over 6.5: 83%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | COL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 71.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 4.6 - 2.6
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