Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 72.3%

WPG: 27.7%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.22

WPG: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	0.96
1	WPG	13	0	0.49
2	COL	13	0	0.47
2	WPG	10	0	0.62
3	COL	7	0	0.41
3	WPG	9	2	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 4.2 - 2.7