Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-03-28 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 49.9%
PHI: 50.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.95
PHI: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | DET | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.886 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DET 6 - 3 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI 2 - 4 DET | DET | PHI |
| 2026-03-28 | DET 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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