Utah Hockey Club at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 50.3%

UTA: 49.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.23

UTA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	LAK	UTA
Season SV%	0.913	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	22	6	78.6%	3.79	1	-2.21
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	31	29	2	93.5%	2.48	0	0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	LAK 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	LAK
2026-03-22	UTA 4 - 3 LAK	UTA	UTA
2025-12-08	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-04-03	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-02-22	LAK 5 - 3 UTA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.50
1	UTA	18	0	1.48
2	LAK	16	0	0.79
2	UTA	9	0	0.72
3	LAK	18	0	1.19
3	UTA	13	1	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown