Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-28 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 7 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CGY: 59.4%

VAN: 40.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.49

VAN: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CGY at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	10	0	0.47
1	VAN	15	1	0.79
2	CGY	12	1	1.01
2	VAN	20	0	0.97
3	CGY	8	0	0.72
3	VAN	14	0	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 7 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8