Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-03-28 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights vs Washington Capitals @ 7:30 PM PDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 60.3%
WSH: 39.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.17
WSH: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | VGK | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • VGK at home vs WSH: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | VGK 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | VGK |
| 2024-10-15 | WSH 4 - 2 VGK | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-02 | VGK 4 - 1 WSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2023-11-14 | WSH 3 - 0 VGK | WSH | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-28 at 7:30 PM PDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.