Chicago Blackhawks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 70.3%

CHI: 29.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.67

CHI: 1.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	NJD	CHI
Season SV%	0.912	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	31	28	3	90.3%	3.69	2	0.69
CHI	Spencer Knight	40	35	5	87.5%	5.67	4	0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NJD at home vs CHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	21	2	1.34
1	CHI	17	1	1.11
2	NJD	25	1	2.05
2	CHI	15	0	1.01
3	NJD	21	1	2.28
3	CHI	18	1	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown