Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-03-29 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Dallas Stars (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 49.1%

DAL: 50.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.85

DAL: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • PHI at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	PHI 2 - 1 DAL	PHI	DAL
2025-11-15	DAL 5 - 1 PHI	DAL	DAL
2025-03-22	DAL 3 - 2 PHI	DAL	DAL
2025-01-09	PHI 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-01-18	PHI 5 - 1 DAL	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	0	0.56
1	DAL	15	3	1.29
2	PHI	20	3	1.88
2	DAL	12	1	0.95
3	PHI	13	0	0.39
3	DAL	4	0	0.27
4	PHI	4	0	0.23
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0