Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-03-30 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 9 - 2 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

COL: 77.8%

CGY: 22.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.50

CGY: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs CGY: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CGY 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-09	COL 3 - 1 CGY	COL	COL
2026-03-30	COL 9 - 2 CGY	COL	COL
2025-03-31	COL 2 - 3 CGY	CGY	COL
2025-03-14	CGY 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	35	4	3.00
1	CGY	10	0	0.24
2	COL	16	0	1.05
2	CGY	17	1	1.52
3	COL	22	3	1.99
3	CGY	18	2	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 9 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.5 - 2.4