Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-03-30 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 76.6%

VAN: 23.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 5.04

VAN: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	VGK	VAN
Season SV%	0.888	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.73	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	24	22	2	91.7%	1.71	0	-0.29
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	34	30	4	88.2%	4.57	6	0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	12	1	0.92
1	VAN	8	0	0.81
2	VGK	22	2	1.96
2	VAN	11	0	0.49
3	VGK	13	3	1.69
3	VAN	9	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 8.0

Score Breakdown