Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2026-03-30 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 65.3%
TOR: 34.7%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.87
TOR: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | ANA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.815 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs TOR: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | ANA 4 - 5 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2026-03-12 | TOR 6 - 4 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-30 | ANA 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2024-12-12 | TOR 3 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-17 | TOR 9 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.9 - 2.4
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