Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-30 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 68.3%

TOR: 31.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 4.02

TOR: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs TOR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	ANA 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	ANA
2026-03-12	TOR 6 - 4 ANA	TOR	ANA
2025-03-30	ANA 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	ANA
2024-12-12	TOR 3 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR
2024-02-17	TOR 9 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	22	1	1.62
1	TOR	14	2	1.24
2	ANA	17	0	1.08
2	TOR	15	1	1.21
3	ANA	13	0	0.91
3	TOR	14	0	1.29
4	ANA	6	0	0.54
4	TOR	3	1	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 4.0 - 2.7