Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-03-31 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 43.1%

DAL: 56.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.18

DAL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BOS 6 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL
2026-01-20	DAL 6 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-11-14	DAL 7 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-10-24	BOS 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-19	BOS 4 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	1	1.44
1	DAL	11	0	0.85
2	BOS	14	0	0.84
2	DAL	8	2	1.01
3	BOS	12	4	2.52
3	DAL	9	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3