Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-03-31 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 38.3%
DAL: 61.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.93
DAL: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | BOS | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.824 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | BOS 6 - 3 DAL | BOS | DAL |
| 2026-01-20 | DAL 6 - 2 BOS | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-11-14 | DAL 7 - 2 BOS | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-24 | BOS 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-19 | BOS 4 - 3 DAL | BOS | DAL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.