Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-03-31 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 52.3%

CAR: 47.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.88

CAR: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	CBJ	CAR
Season SV%	0.909	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	33	28	5	84.8%	4.28	5	-0.72
CAR	Brandon Bussi	25	23	2	92.0%	3.00	0	1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs CAR: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	8	0	0.80
1	CAR	18	2	1.20
2	CBJ	16	0	1.38
2	CAR	20	0	1.03
3	CBJ	15	0	0.82
3	CAR	21	3	2.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown