Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-04-01 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 8 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (76% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 75.7%

VAN: 24.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.45

VAN: 5.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	1	0.84
1	VAN	17	0	1.24
2	COL	11	0	0.90
2	VAN	14	0	0.85
3	COL	20	3	1.56
3	VAN	11	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 14.0

Expected: 9.7

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 8 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.4 - 5.3