Buffalo Sabres at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-04-02 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 70.5%
BUF: 29.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.37
BUF: 2.50
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | OTT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs BUF: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | OTT 4 - 1 BUF | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-23 | OTT 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | OTT |
| 2025-10-15 | BUF 8 - 4 OTT | BUF | OTT |
| 2025-04-01 | OTT 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-25 | BUF 3 - 2 OTT | BUF | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 15:18 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 05:55 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:42 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:42 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 2.5
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