Buffalo Sabres at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

OTT: 61.9%

BUF: 38.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.32

BUF: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • OTT at home vs BUF: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	OTT 4 - 1 BUF	OTT	OTT
2025-12-23	OTT 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	OTT
2025-10-15	BUF 8 - 4 OTT	BUF	OTT
2025-04-01	OTT 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	OTT
2025-03-25	BUF 3 - 2 OTT	BUF	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	7	0	0.24
1	BUF	11	0	1.18
2	OTT	16	2	1.19
2	BUF	14	1	0.75
3	OTT	15	2	2.73
3	BUF	11	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9