Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-04-02 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 50.6%
PIT: 49.4%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.99
PIT: 2.22
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | TBL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.963 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • TBL at home vs PIT: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | PIT 1 - 2 TBL | TBL | PIT |
| 2025-12-04 | TBL 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | TBL |
| 2025-03-25 | TBL 6 - 1 PIT | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-01-12 | PIT 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | PIT |
| 2024-11-19 | PIT 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | PIT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-04-02 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.