Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 7 - 3 Washington Capitals

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 62.6%

WSH: 37.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.56

WSH: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 15-11-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.39 GAA

Stat	NJD	WSH
Season SV%	0.912	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	2.39

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	32	29	3	90.6%	3.17	3	0.17
WSH	Logan Thompson	30	23	7	76.7%	3.11	1	-3.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • NJD at home vs WSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.70
1	WSH	13	3	1.15
2	NJD	13	0	0.58
2	WSH	19	0	1.04
3	NJD	15	1	1.82
3	WSH	17	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown