Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NYR: 44.2%

MTL: 55.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.65

MTL: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NYR 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-13	NYR 5 - 4 MTL	NYR	NYR
2025-10-18	MTL 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	MTL
2025-01-19	MTL 5 - 4 NYR	MTL	MTL
2024-11-30	NYR 4 - 3 MTL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.96
1	MTL	11	0	0.45
2	NYR	11	0	0.66
2	MTL	16	0	0.94
3	NYR	18	0	1.09
3	MTL	11	4	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 2.6 - 3.6