Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2026-04-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 38.3%
MTL: 61.7%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.85
MTL: 4.10
Total Goals
Median: 8.1
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.837 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | NYR 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5 - 4 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-18 | MTL 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-19 | MTL 5 - 4 NYR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-11-30 | NYR 4 - 3 MTL | NYR | NYR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 2.8 - 4.1
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