Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 69.6%

CBJ: 30.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.81

CBJ: 2.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	CAR	CBJ
Season SV%	0.865	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.38	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	10	9	1	90.0%	1.69	1	0.69
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	21	16	5	76.2%	1.98	1	-3.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	1	0.95
1	CBJ	7	0	0.24
2	CAR	10	0	0.62
2	CBJ	8	1	0.92
3	CAR	7	0	0.41
3	CBJ	10	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown