Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-04-02 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DAL: 62.5%

WPG: 37.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.37

WPG: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	DAL	WPG
Season SV%	0.907	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.57	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	22	22	0	100.0%	2.56	1	2.56
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	21	18	3	85.7%	3.25	5	0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	3	1.77
1	WPG	8	0	0.56
2	DAL	14	0	0.60
2	WPG	11	1	0.76
3	DAL	7	2	0.89
3	WPG	17	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown