Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NYR: 51.9%

DET: 48.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.23

DET: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NYR at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	0	0.89
1	DET	14	1	0.89
2	NYR	11	0	0.91
2	DET	14	0	0.67
3	NYR	9	3	1.77
3	DET	27	2	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9