Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 41.1%

DET: 58.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.84

DET: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	DET
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5