Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 65.4%
MIN: 34.6%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.48
MIN: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | OTT | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.826 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs MIN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | OTT 1 - 4 MIN | MIN | OTT |
| 2025-12-13 | MIN 3 - 2 OTT | MIN | OTT |
| 2025-02-01 | OTT 6 - 0 MIN | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-29 | MIN 1 - 3 OTT | OTT | MIN |
| 2024-04-02 | MIN 3 - 2 OTT | MIN | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:45 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 15:35 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 15:31 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 12:46 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:43 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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