Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 9 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PIT: 61.0%

FLA: 39.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.82

FLA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	1	0.97
1	FLA	8	1	0.68
2	PIT	24	2	2.04
2	FLA	9	0	0.47
3	PIT	7	1	0.59
3	FLA	12	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 9 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8