Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 58.8%

MTL: 41.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.21

MTL: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs MTL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	MTL
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	2	1.33
1	MTL	17	0	1.26
2	NJD	11	0	1.14
2	MTL	13	0	1.14
3	NJD	15	0	0.84
3	MTL	16	0	1.08
4	NJD	4	0	0.39
4	MTL	4	0	0.25
5	NJD	5	2	1.98
5	MTL	5	3	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0