New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CAR: 80.5%

NYI: 19.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.44

NYI: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 56%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	1	1.26
1	NYI	5	0	0.22
2	CAR	24	1	1.88
2	NYI	4	0	0.45
3	CAR	17	2	1.36
3	NYI	16	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 4.4 - 2.7