Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-04-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)

Win Probability

LAK: 65.0%

TOR: 35.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 4.17

TOR: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	LAK 7 - 6 TOR	LAK	LAK
2025-11-13	TOR 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-29	LAK 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK
2024-10-16	TOR 6 - 2 LAK	TOR	TOR
2024-01-02	LAK 0 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	22	0	1.58
1	TOR	14	1	0.68
2	LAK	25	1	1.88
2	TOR	9	1	1.03
3	LAK	15	0	0.56
3	TOR	7	0	0.53
4	LAK	5	0	0.40
4	TOR	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 4.2 - 2.8