Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 7 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 73.3%
TOR: 26.7%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.78
TOR: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | LAK | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.743 | 0.825 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | LAK 7 - 6 TOR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-13 | TOR 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-29 | LAK 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2024-10-16 | TOR 6 - 2 LAK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-02 | LAK 0 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:19 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 13:42 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:11 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:55 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 09:18 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:53 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 19:47 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:46 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 06:14 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 07:22 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 09:37 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:29 | LAK | Goal |
| 4 | 02:33 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 7 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6
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