Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 53.3%
NSH: 46.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.37
NSH: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.848 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | NSH 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | NSH |
| 2026-04-04 | SJS 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | SJS |
| 2026-03-24 | NSH 6 - 3 SJS | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-11 | SJS 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SJS 5 - 6 NSH | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:38 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 09:54 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 16:55 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 15:49 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 19:41 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:06 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 08:28 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:26 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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