Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-04-05 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 50.2%

MIN: 49.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.10

MIN: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	DET 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	DET
2026-01-22	MIN 4 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN
2025-02-25	MIN 2 - 3 DET	DET	MIN
2025-02-22	DET 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	DET
2023-12-27	MIN 6 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.31
1	MIN	11	0	0.45
2	DET	11	0	0.63
2	MIN	15	2	1.62
3	DET	22	2	1.78
3	MIN	12	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3