Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-04-05 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PIT: 64.1%

FLA: 35.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.85

FLA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	10	1	1.33
1	FLA	13	0	0.44
2	PIT	14	0	1.39
2	FLA	16	0	1.20
3	PIT	11	0	0.89
3	FLA	26	0	1.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0