Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-04-05 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 67.8%

BOS: 32.2%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.48

BOS: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	0.44
1	BOS	6	0	0.38
2	PHI	15	1	0.97
2	BOS	14	0	0.72
3	PHI	9	1	0.59
3	BOS	11	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6