Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-04-05 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 6 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 47.4%
CAR: 52.6%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.77
CAR: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | OTT 6 - 3 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:22 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:17 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 08:51 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:40 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 08:33 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 02:50 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:32 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:30 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:03 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 6 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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