Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-04-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 8 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYR: 54.2%

WSH: 45.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.34

WSH: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	8	1	0.79
1	WSH	10	0	0.84
2	NYR	22	3	2.28
2	WSH	9	0	0.46
3	NYR	17	1	1.44
3	WSH	13	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 8 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9