Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-04-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 53.6%

SEA: 46.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.33

SEA: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	WPG	SEA
Season SV%	0.907	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	22	2	91.7%	3.14	2	1.14
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	31	25	6	80.6%	4.98	5	-1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	1	1.52
1	SEA	18	1	1.28
2	WPG	22	1	1.60
2	SEA	14	1	1.01
3	WPG	16	3	1.86
3	SEA	14	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown