Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-04-06 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 67.1%

CHI: 32.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.62

CHI: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Alex Nedeljkovic - 5-7-2 | 0.895 SV% | 3.06 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	SJS	CHI
Season SV%	0.895	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.06	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alex Nedeljkovic	29	27	2	93.1%	3.50	3	1.50
CHI	Spencer Knight	23	20	3	87.0%	2.43	2	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs CHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	CHI
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.62
1	CHI	10	1	1.11
2	SJS	15	1	1.32
2	CHI	17	1	1.60
3	SJS	9	1	0.48
3	CHI	13	1	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown