Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-04-07 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 66.5%
TBL: 33.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.74
TBL: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | OTT | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs TBL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | TBL 4 - 5 OTT | OTT | TBL |
| 2025-04-03 | OTT 2 - 1 TBL | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-02-06 | TBL 5 - 1 OTT | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-04 | TBL 4 - 3 OTT | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-19 | OTT 5 - 4 TBL | OTT | OTT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-04-07 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.