Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DET: 49.6%

CBJ: 50.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.99

CBJ: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	DET	CBJ
Season SV%	0.893	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.97	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	John Gibson	39	33	6	84.6%	6.40	4	0.40
CBJ	Jet Greaves	41	36	5	87.8%	4.94	5	-0.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	CBJ
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	1	0.86
1	CBJ	14	0	0.80
2	DET	17	1	0.86
2	CBJ	27	1	1.93
3	DET	15	0	0.74
3	CBJ	9	0	0.47
4	DET	8	1	0.59
4	CBJ	3	0	0.34
5	DET	5	2	1.89
5	CBJ	5	3	2.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4