Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NJD: 47.0%

PHI: 53.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.19

PHI: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.97
1	PHI	8	0	0.71
2	NJD	16	0	1.17
2	PHI	12	0	0.62
3	NJD	15	0	0.57
3	PHI	4	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2