Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-04-07 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 56.3%
PHI: 43.7%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.19
PHI: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | NJD 1 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 03:38 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:12 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:46 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:58 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:09 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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