Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Boston Bruins (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 76.3%

BOS: 23.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.70

BOS: 2.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	CAR	BOS
Season SV%	0.901	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	21	16	5	76.2%	2.26	3	-2.74
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	40	34	6	85.0%	4.80	4	-1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	2	1.09
1	BOS	16	3	1.33
2	CAR	22	2	2.32
2	BOS	10	0	0.55
3	CAR	19	0	1.28
3	BOS	7	0	0.37
4	CAR	1	0	0.12
4	BOS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.7 - 2.3