Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 31.7%

COL: 68.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.63

COL: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	STL	COL
Season SV%	0.901	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	37	34	3	91.9%	3.20	1	0.20
COL	Scott Wedgewood	19	18	1	94.7%	2.25	0	1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs COL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	3	0	0.05
1	COL	24	0	1.17
2	STL	13	0	0.88
2	COL	20	0	1.30
3	STL	15	0	1.32
3	COL	10	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown