Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

STL: 39.5%

COL: 60.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.84

COL: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs COL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	3	0	0.05
1	COL	24	0	1.17
2	STL	13	0	0.88
2	COL	20	0	1.30
3	STL	15	0	1.32
3	COL	10	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3