Edmonton Oilers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 47.7%

EDM: 52.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.43

EDM: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	EDM
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	24	2	1.73
1	EDM	10	1	0.98
2	UTA	16	0	1.32
2	EDM	18	1	1.09
3	UTA	23	1	1.23
3	EDM	9	0	0.53
4	UTA	1	0	0.10
4	EDM	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1