Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-04-07 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

VAN: 26.0%

VGK: 74.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 1.99

VGK: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 56%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VAN at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	5	0	0.24
1	VGK	19	1	1.78
2	VAN	9	1	0.76
2	VGK	17	0	1.49
3	VAN	9	0	0.66
3	VGK	11	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.0 - 2.8