Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-04-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

NYR: 47.1%

BUF: 52.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.85

BUF: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYR at home vs BUF: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	BUF
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	1	1.45
1	BUF	14	1	0.92
2	NYR	8	0	0.68
2	BUF	18	2	1.38
3	NYR	4	0	0.09
3	BUF	9	2	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2