Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-04-08 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 56.5%

EDM: 43.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.92

EDM: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	1	0.91
1	EDM	12	1	0.90
2	SJS	10	1	0.76
2	EDM	19	0	1.43
3	SJS	10	0	0.25
3	EDM	10	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2