Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 48.3%

CBJ: 51.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.29

CBJ: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	0	0.72
1	CBJ	15	1	0.97
2	BUF	8	1	0.56
2	CBJ	23	0	1.14
3	BUF	12	2	1.09
3	CBJ	19	1	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0