Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-04-09 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 66.1%
TBL: 33.9%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.50
TBL: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | MTL | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.786 | — |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MTL at home vs TBL: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | TBL 5 - 4 MTL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-09 | MTL 1 - 6 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2025-02-09 | MTL 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2025-01-21 | MTL 3 - 2 TBL | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-12-29 | TBL 2 - 5 MTL | MTL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-04-09 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.