Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-04-09 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 53.6%
PHI: 46.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.11
PHI: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | DET | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.886 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DET 6 - 3 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI 2 - 4 DET | DET | PHI |
| 2026-03-28 | DET 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:28 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 13:24 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 00:32 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 01:50 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 04:56 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 09:25 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:01 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:39 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:09 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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