Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 52.8%

PIT: 47.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.10

PIT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 56%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	0	0.95
1	PIT	21	1	1.54
2	NJD	9	1	0.67
2	PIT	11	0	0.88
3	NJD	7	0	0.37
3	PIT	13	3	2.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1