Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

DAL: 59.1%

MIN: 40.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.57

MIN: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	1	0.57
1	MIN	11	0	0.73
2	DAL	14	2	1.40
2	MIN	20	2	1.42
3	DAL	9	0	0.48
3	MIN	13	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8