Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-04-09 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 56.5%
MIN: 43.5%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.40
MIN: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | DAL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | DAL | ||
| 2026-04-30 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-04-28 | DAL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | DAL |
| 2026-04-25 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-04-22 | MIN 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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